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Business News in Australia - 30 June 2024

BusinessCorp

Published: June 30, 2024

ANZ's Suncorp Deal: A Game-Changer for Australian Banking?

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has approved ANZ's acquisition of Suncorp Bank, marking a significant shift in Australia's banking landscape. This deal, described as a "once-in-a-generation" opportunity, comes with a slew of conditions that may reshape the future of regional banking.

Key Points of the Deal

  • ANZ to gain approximately 2.5% market share in home loans
  • Numerous commitments imposed, including:
    • Funding Queensland renewable energy projects
    • Maintaining Australia Post's Bank@Post services
    • Job retention and a moratorium on regional branch closures

These conditions mirror those imposed during the global financial crisis of 2008, underscoring the deal's significance.

"It's an on-balance call," Chalmers stated, acknowledging the changing nature of the banking sector.

Implications for Regional Banks

The approval raises questions about the future of smaller regional banks like Bank of Queensland and Bendigo and Adelaide Bank. While mergers among these institutions are possible, they're unlikely to create a competitor on par with the Big Four.

ANZ's Perspective

Despite the stringent conditions, ANZ CEO Shayne Elliott remains optimistic about the deal. The acquisition will boost ANZ's customer base by 20% and strengthen its presence in south-east Queensland.

However, Elliott acknowledges the challenges ahead: "It's something we have to live with, but it only puts us in line with competitors," he said, referring to the regional branch closure moratorium.

The Road Ahead

As ANZ prepares to finalise the acquisition next month, the focus shifts to making the deal work for shareholders amidst increased competition and tighter restrictions. The question remains: Will this deal truly enhance competition in Australian banking, or has it created an even more uneven playing field?

Meta Threatens News Ban in Australia Amid Content Payment Dispute

Meta, the parent company of Facebook and Instagram, is considering blocking news on its Australian platforms if forced to pay news organisations for content. This move escalates the ongoing dispute between Meta, the government, and local media companies.

Potential Impact on Australian Media

The threat comes as Meta's existing deals with news organisations, worth around $70 million annually, are set to expire. Media groups warn that this could lead to job cuts and even closures of some mastheads.

"Meta is trying to blackmail the parliament by refusing to rule out banning all news on their platforms Instagram and Facebook," said Greens senator Sarah Hanson-Young.

Government Response

Assistant Treasurer Stephen Jones stated that the government would "not be held ransom by multinational companies who blatantly threaten to avoid" Australian laws. The government is following the process laid out by the news media bargaining code to make a decision on designating Meta under the code.

Meta's Stance

Mia Garlick, Meta's regional director of policy, argued that the laws "were not workable" for Meta's business. She cited an 80% drop in Facebook News usage in Australia and the US last year as evidence of declining interest in news content on social media platforms.

Broader Implications

This dispute highlights ongoing tensions between tech giants and traditional media outlets. It also raises questions about the future of news distribution on social media platforms and the sustainability of journalism in the digital age.

ASX 200 Delivers Solid Returns in FY2024 Amidst Global Economic Challenges

The Australian sharemarket has shown remarkable resilience in the 2024 financial year, with the ASX 200 benchmark index jumping 7.8 per cent. This follows a 9.7 per cent gain in 2023, driven by the AI boom and resilient corporate profits despite interest rate hikes.

Key Highlights:

  • ASX 200 total return (including dividends) reached 12.1 per cent in FY2024
  • Super funds in balanced growth category expected to generate around 9 per cent returns
  • Technology sector emerged as the strongest performer, surging 28 per cent
  • Major banks thrived despite analyst sell recommendations

While the Australian market performed well, it lagged behind its US counterpart. The S&P 500 rose 23 per cent, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite soared 30 per cent, largely due to the AI stock boom.

"The experience over the past two years is another reminder of the importance of remaining patient and not getting distracted by shorter-term noise," said Chant West senior investment research manager Mano Mohankumar.

Looking Ahead

Experts warn of potential challenges in FY2025, including stretched valuations, geopolitical risks, and the possibility of further interest rate hikes in Australia. However, many anticipate continued growth as disinflation progresses and more central banks consider rate cuts.

Despite these challenges, the Australian sharemarket remains a consistent performer, having risen in seven out of the past ten years with total returns consistently outpacing cash rates.

Super Funds Set to Deliver Strong 9% Returns Despite Market Challenges

As we wrap up the 2023-2024 financial year, Australian super fund investors have reason to celebrate. Despite global economic uncertainties, your super fund is likely to deliver impressive returns of around 9%, surpassing historical averages and outpacing inflation.

Key Highlights:

  • Second consecutive year of 9%+ returns for Australian investors
  • Above-average performance despite challenging economic conditions
  • Strong sharemarket performance driving super fund growth

The Australian sharemarket has been a major contributor, with the ASX 200 up about 8% and total returns (including dividends) expected to reach 12%. Internationally, the S&P 500 is poised to deliver total returns exceeding 20%, propelled by tech giants and AI-focused companies like Nvidia.

"It's looking very good for all super funds this weekend with only hours to go, just be careful with expectations going forward. Almost every single asset category is in positive territory," says Chant West's Mano Mohankumar.

Performance Across Fund Types:

Growth-oriented funds are set to outperform conservative options, potentially doubling their returns. However, this comes with higher risk during market downturns. The commercial property sector remains one of the few negative areas for investors.

While these results are encouraging, some experts suggest that super funds could have performed even better by relying more on index funds rather than stock picking. Investors are advised to review their fund's performance and fee structure, especially if returns fall below 10% this year.

As we celebrate two consecutive years of strong super fund performance, it's important to remember that such high returns aren't guaranteed every year. Nonetheless, this period of growth provides a solid foundation for Australians' retirement savings.

Aussie Tech Soars, Lithium Crashes in FY24 ASX Rollercoaster

As the 2024 financial year draws to a close, the Australian stock market has witnessed a dramatic shift in fortunes. Tech innovators have emerged as the new market darlings, while last year's lithium stars have suffered a spectacular fall from grace.

Tech Titans Take the Lead

Medical imaging software company Pro Medicus topped the ASX 200, with an impressive 118.3% gain. Hot on its heels was family safety app Life360, surging 115.4%. Both firms rode the wave of a global tech sector boom, showcasing Australian innovation on the world stage.

"The bubble burst for the EV stocks," noted Hunter Green director Charlie Green, summarising the lithium sector's dramatic reversal.

Lithium's Fall from Grace

In a stark contrast to FY23, lithium miners faced a brutal reality check. Supply gluts and weakening demand saw former high-flyers like Liontown Resources and IGO Ltd plummet 68% and 62.9% respectively, topping the list of worst performers.

Gold Still Glitters

While lithium lost its lustre, gold miners shone bright. Red 5 and West African Resources delivered stellar returns, up 89.5% and 86.1% respectively. Uranium also joined the party, with Deep Yellow soaring 76.8%.

Gambling Giants Stumble

Australia's gambling sector faced a tough year, with Star Entertainment Group and Tabcorp Holdings both taking significant hits. Regulatory pressures and increased competition have left these companies with "mountains to climb", according to industry experts.

As we enter FY25, investors will be keenly watching whether tech can maintain its momentum and if the resources sector can stage a comeback in this ever-changing market landscape.

ANZ's $4.9bn Suncorp Bank Takeover: A Game-Changer for Aussie Banking

In a landmark deal set to reshape Australia's banking landscape, ANZ has received federal government approval for its $4.9 billion acquisition of Suncorp Bank. The takeover, slated for completion by July's end, will catapult ANZ ahead of NAB to become the nation's third-largest mortgage lender.

Key Highlights:

  • ANZ to add $70 billion in loans and 1.2 million customers
  • 2,500 Suncorp Bank employees to join ANZ
  • Largest banking sector transaction since 2008

Treasurer Jim Chalmers greenlit the deal with strict conditions, describing it as an "on-balance call". The approval comes despite initial opposition from the competition regulator last year.

"We are not naïve, we understand it is really difficult," said ANZ CEO Shayne Elliott. "ANZ is the product of years and years of integrations and acquisitions ... it will make us a more effective competitor."

Challenges and Opportunities

While some analysts question ANZ's ability to execute the deal efficiently, others see potential benefits. The bank estimates annual cost synergy benefits of $260 million, primarily realised in years four to six post-completion.

Regal Funds Management's Mark Nathan believes the acquisition "makes a lot of sense" for both ANZ and Suncorp, highlighting ANZ's improved position in Queensland and Suncorp's transition to a pure-play insurance firm.

Government Conditions

The approval comes with several conditions, including:

  • Maintaining regional branch numbers for three years
  • No net job losses in Australia for three years
  • Continued efforts to reach an agreement with Australia Post for Bank@Post services

As the Australian banking sector braces for this significant shift, all eyes will be on ANZ's execution of this game-changing deal.

Cettire Addresses ASX Queries Amid Share Price Plunge

Luxury online retailer Cettire has responded to ASX inquiries about its market disclosure practices, following a tumultuous week that saw its shares plummet by 50%.

Financial Clarifications

In a Friday statement, Cettire provided more precise figures requested by the ASX:

  • Marketing to sales revenue for FY24: 10.0% to 10.5%
  • Delivered margin for FY24: 20.4% to 21.1%

These clarifications came after Monday's update, which used vague terms like "single digit" and "double digit", drawing criticism from the ASX.

Profit Warning and Market Impact

Cettire's Monday announcement revealed challenging conditions in the global luxury market, forecasting a potential small profit for Q4. The company adjusted its FY24 EBITDA forecast to $32m-$35m, down from previous expectations.

"The FY24 Update was issued before the end of Q4, when actual Q4 data was not yet available," Cettire explained.

ASX Concerns

The ASX questioned Cettire's disclosure of key financial metrics, including gross revenue, average order value, and active customers. Cettire defended its approach, noting that previous updates were released after quarter-end, unlike the recent pre-Q4 announcement.

This scrutiny follows a challenging period for Cettire and its reclusive founder, Dean Mintz, as the company navigates a volatile luxury retail landscape.

Bruce Mathieson Jnr Eyes Star Entertainment Board Role

Bruce Mathieson Jnr has stepped down from the Endeavour Group board, fuelling speculation he could join Star Entertainment's board. This move comes as his billionaire father, Bruce Mathieson Sr, received approval to increase his stake in the troubled casino company to 19.9%.

Key Developments:

  • NSW regulators greenlight Mathieson Sr to lift Star Entertainment stake
  • Queensland government signals similar approval
  • Mathieson Jr quits Endeavour board, potentially eyeing Star role
  • Star appoints Steve McCann as new CEO amid regulatory scrutiny

The Mathieson camp is considering its investment options and may approach Star chair Anne Ward about a board position. This comes as Star faces ongoing regulatory challenges in Sydney and Queensland.

"Endeavour is continuing to work with the Bruce Mathieson Group (BMG) in the ongoing search for a suitable replacement for Mr Mathieson as the BMG representative on the Board," Endeavour said in a statement.

Meanwhile, former Star chairman David Foster's brief return to the Bendigo and Adelaide Bank board has ended abruptly, with the bank announcing his resumed leave of absence.

These developments highlight the ongoing shake-up in Australia's gaming and hospitality sectors, as companies navigate regulatory pressures and seek fresh leadership.

ATO Crackdown on Investment Property Tax Claims

As of 30 June 2024, investment property owners in Australia face increasing scrutiny from the Australian Taxation Office (ATO). Recent government changes and rising interest rates have put pressure on landlords, but creative tax deductions are not the answer.

ATO Warning to Landlords

The ATO has issued a stern warning to property investors, emphasising its robust data matching capabilities. ATO Assistant Commissioner Rob Thomson advises:

"Rental property investments and taxation can get tricky, so it pays to get the right advice from the very beginning. Don't rely on things you hear at a Sunday afternoon barbecue."

Common Pitfalls for Property Investors

Investors should be aware of several key areas where tax claims are often misunderstood:

  • Travel expenses for property inspections are no longer claimable
  • Depreciation on fixtures and fittings is limited for subsequent property owners
  • Renovation costs cannot always be claimed in a single tax return
  • Interest on investment property loans may not be 100% tax-deductible
  • Private expenses cannot be claimed against investment properties

Staying Compliant

To avoid ATO scrutiny, investors should maintain meticulous records and only claim allowable deductions. While property investment remains a viable wealth-building strategy, it's crucial to navigate the tax landscape carefully.

For personalised advice, consult a qualified financial advisor or tax professional to ensure compliance with current regulations.

Suncorp Bank Sale to ANZ: What It Means for Queenslanders

In a landmark $4.9 billion deal, Suncorp has successfully sold its banking arm to ANZ. The sale, approved by federal Treasurer Jim Chalmers, is set to be finalised by 1 August 2024. Suncorp's CEO, Steve Johnston, assures that customers will experience minimal changes, with the main difference being the addition of "bank" to Suncorp branch signs.

Key Points for Customers and Shareholders

  • No change in services for Suncorp insurance and banking customers
  • ANZ to maintain regional branch numbers for three years
  • No net job losses across Australia as a direct result of the acquisition
  • Suncorp shareholders to receive majority of $4.1 billion net proceeds
  • Estimated $3 per share return through capital return and special dividend

Future Investments and Commitments

ANZ plans to invest in a new tech hub in Brisbane, creating 700 Queensland-based roles over five years. Suncorp will invest $19 million in a Disaster Response Centre of Excellence in Brisbane and $2 million in a Regional Hub in Townsville, generating 120 new jobs.

"Following completion, Suncorp will focus on meeting the evolving needs of insurance customers and addressing increasingly complex challenges such as climate change and affordability," said Steve Johnston.

The deal marks a significant shift for Suncorp, transforming it into a dedicated trans-Tasman insurer headquartered in Queensland. ANZ's expansion in Queensland is set to bring new opportunities and improved banking services to Suncorp Bank customers.

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